The Natural Edge Project The Natural Advantage of Nations Whole System Design Factor 5 Cents and Sustainability




"Sustainability is the dominant paradigm shift in engineering... Sustainability can be profitable, as has been shown by companies that have adopted more sustainable practices... It is the way of the future."
Doug Jones, President of Engineers Australia 2003/04 (EA Magazine Nov 2003)





 

The Natural Advantage of Nations (Vol. I): Business Opportunities, Innovation and Governance in the 21st Century

 
 

The Natural Advantage of Nations CoverThis book is about innovation, solutions, competitiveness and profitability. It is also about building environmental integrity and sustainability now and for future generations. It draws a bold vision for the future and tells us how to get there by building on the lessons of competitive advantage theory and the latest in sustainability, economics, innovation, business and governance theory and practice. The authors incorporate innovative technical, structural and social advances, and explore the role that governance can play in both leading and underpinning business and communities in the shift towards a sustainable future. The result is nothing less than the most authoritative and comprehensive guide to building the new ecologically sustainable economy.  (more...)

 
 

Chapter 17 (Part 1) - Energy Systems: drivers for change

 

Issue identification[88]


The key energy issues for ensuring nations seize these opportunities include:


• Development of a culture that makes energy waste an unacceptable activity (as is being done with water), and focuses attention on improving the productivity of energy use.

• Dramatic improvements in the efficiency with which energy and non-renewable materials are used, for both new and existing infrastructure and buildings.

• A shift from traditional, centralized, fossil fuel-based energy systems to diversified systems including renewable energy, cogeneration and energy efficiency improvement.

• Restructuring of energy markets so they make it more profitable for electricity retailers to save energy or sell renewables than to sell conventional fossil fuelsourced energy, and to provide clearer signals to energy consumers of the costs and impacts of using fossil fuel-sourced energy wastefully, while ensuring equitable outcomes.

• Ensuring all new urban infrastructure, buildings and business expansion are compatible with a low greenhouse impact future, either through low emissions when built, or through flexible design so that low emissions solutions can be easily added as they become more cost-effective. This might include, for example, installation of hydrogen gas pipes to all houses in new developments.

• Utilization of local renewable energy resources (including wastes) and waste materials to replace non-renewables.

• Development of targeted energy strategies, such as management of peak energy loads, identification of high-energy users, etc.

• Assisting low-income households (many of whom rent or live in caravans or portable housing) to reduce energy costs while improving comfort.

• Development of tools needed to help identify energy waste in buildings and infrastructure, and to help set priorities for improvement. For example, rating schemes such as the Australian Building Greenhouse Rating facilitate benchmarking and targeting of high energy users, while the Australian Government’s annual reporting of energy use by agencies[89] facilitates strategic energy management within the public sector, and could be applied more broadly.


Policy options


The nature of many decisions related to energy and sustainable cities is such that their implications are long term and their impacts are widespread. But there are numerous positive market based mechanisms that governments have to assist them. As discussed in the tragedy of the commons, arguably the most prominent reasons why markets for ecosystem services rarely exist are uncertainty about ecosystem processes and an inability to define and enforce ownership. But in the case of CO2 and SOx pollution, where it is relatively easy to identify and measure both the source and amount of pollution, markets can be easily created. Point source pollution issues like NOx, SOx, CFC and greenhouse gas emissions are the environmental problems that are most suitable for market creation. Take the experience to date with trading emissions in sulphur. Just before Congress approved in 1990 the cap-and-trade system for reducing sulphur dioxide emissions, industry predicted that the permit price would settle at US$1650 per ton. Environmentalists predicted that reductions would cost about US$330 a ton, or ultimately (said the optimists) perhaps US$250. The sulphur-allowance market opened in 1992 at about US$250 a ton; in 1995, it cleared at US$130 a ton. Therefore the cost of addressing sulphur dioxide emissions has ended up being over an order of magnitude cheaper than industry groups predicted.


The success of and experience in SOx market trading schemes is spurring on many nations to set up their own national CO2 emission trading schemes modelled on the successful SOx emission trading schemes. The UK emissions trading scheme is off to a flying start.[90] Nearly 1000 companies transferred over 7 million tonnes of carbon dioxide during the first year. The EU will launch a European emissions trading scheme on 1 January 2005 that will allow regional governments with trading schemes to join the EU’s trading scheme. In the US the Chicago Climate Exchange has been created for any businesses to join to either sell carbon credits (if they are below agreed targets) or buy carbon credits (if they are behind set goals). Experience with market solutions over the past decade has highlighted that, while they can allocate resources efficiently, the detailed structure of the markets and the extent to which they reflect long-term costs and limit the application of market power by entrenched interests strongly influences their effectiveness as policy tools.


It has also been found that regulation can be accepted in situations where allocation of costs is difficult. For example, the building industry has worked constructively with regulators to introduce energy efficiency requirements into the Building Code of Australia over the past few years, after resisting such action for decades. It has also been recognized that market mechanisms must operate within a regulatory framework anyway, so the dichotomy between market solutions and regulation has been found to be a matter of degree. For energy, the key issue is that most decisions that impact on energy use are made in a context where the energy implications are a minor component of the criteria. The reasons for this include the small cost of energy as a proportion of total costs, heavy discounting of future costs, split incentives where the decision-maker does not pay the energy bills and distortions of energy prices. Ignorance of the potential for energy savings is also a barrier, as is the early stage of development of the sustainable energy industry.


Given these barriers, there are no simple paths to sustainable energy in urban development. A comprehensive strategy is required that includes:


• education and promotion in relation to the benefits of sustainable energy;

• incentives for sustainable energy (which could include changes to energy markets, taxation, rebates, etc.);

• funding of pilot projects, for example application of energy efficiency and distributed generation to a new mixed use development;

• guidelines (evolving towards mandatory requirements) for incorporation of sustainable energy into new developments: for example, a greenhouse budget for all new buildings;

• development of evaluation and rating tools and their use to assess eligibility for incentives and/or application of mandated measures;

• provide information, and address any institutional information failures;


• enhance industry’s, business’s and the community’s ability to respond to market mechanisms and price signals.

A fundamental problem we face in driving a transition is that all the regulatory and policy frameworks are still structured around traditional energy solutions. To drive a shift we need to:

• carry out modelling projects to help better understand how distributed systems might work and what infrastructure they could benefit from (e.g. local energy storage, advanced meters/voltage control/load management systems in homes and businesses, etc.);


• plan several new developments (preferably mixed used) from the ground up as energy efficient, distributed generation pilot projects, then build them and learn from experience;


• in parallel with the above, provide incentives and assistance to implement alternative models in targeted existing areas.


How can the uptake of renewable energy for residential and commercial properties be promoted?


This question is somewhat linked to other questions in this section. Ideally, packages are needed that combine energy efficiency improvement and renewable energy so that overall costs are reduced. However, capital cost may then be an issue, particularly where split incentives exist (i.e. the decision-maker does not benefit from future savings) so schemes that bring life cycle costs to the point of decision-making and/or allow the cost to be paid off via energy bills or mortgage payments are needed. It will be important to underwrite the risk so that individuals can feel confident to act.


Along with such schemes there is a need for a strong innovation/efficiency improvement programme for products and equipment used throughout the commercial and household sector, not just a mandatory standards programme. There are simply too many different kinds of products and equipment to be able to address each of them via standards within a reasonable timeframe. Training of designers and engineers to carry out quick assessments of energy efficiency potential of things from coffee makers to pizza ovens to cold rooms is urgently required, so they can get on with designing better solutions. It will also be important to ensure that investments in conventional energy infrastructure support the future adoption of sustainable energy options. For example, it is quite feasible to introduce tougher energy standards for hot water services to make them compatible with solar boosting. Solar pre-heaters can then be added to such systems at any time during their lives at minimum cost. At present, the solar systems must be installed up-front when there is often a shortage of capital or a split incentive situation. Of course, mandating solar hot water provides another path.


What are the barriers to utilizing renewable energy sources in residential, commercial and industrial areas and how might these be addressed?


The aim should be to encourage the adoption of a mix of sustainable energy options, including renewable energy, energy efficiency and demand management. For example, a household that uses less hot water through water-efficient showerheads, taps and appliances, needs a smaller solar hot water system than one that uses water wastefully. A recent study for the NSW Government shows how a mix of such approaches can deliver economically attractive outcomes.[91] Brief overviews of some of the issues are provided in key works from Watt and Outhred,[92] as well as Greene and Pears.[93] Key factors include:


• Energy is a relatively small cost for most people and businesses (in fact gas and electricity are, on average, less than 1.5 per cent of business input costs), and therefore does not attract much attention.

• Most decisions that impact on energy use are not understood to be energy-related by the decision-makers: businesses upgrade a photocopier because they want a higher speed model or new features, and rarely realize that this could impact on their energy use. Even where energy performance is a factor, it generally rates well-below other criteria such as price, aesthetics, status, reputation for reliability, etc.

• Split incentives such as the landlord–tenant problem mean that often those who have to pay for energy efficiency don’t get the benefits.

• Markets are heavily stacked against energy efficiency as we now have many highly resourced marketing groups working for energy suppliers whose job it is to steal market share from their competitors, the overall effect of this marketing effort is an increase in energy use. Further, for energy suppliers, there is more profit at the margin from selling one extra unit of energy than from saving it, because a large proportion of their costs are sunk capital, which they have to pay for whether it is used or not.[94] Also, appliance and equipment markets are biased in favour of energy waste. For example, a salesperson selling boiling water units for an office kitchenette has a vested interest in selling a bigger model because it provides more profit for the same effort: but it is also less efficient. Similar pressures encourage the sale of bigger refrigerators and heating units and even houses.


Dealing with these barriers will require strong policy action, technology development, strong incentives to do things differently, as well as an education and cultural change programme that makes it clear that using energy wastefully is foolish. A new paradigm for the energy sector is showing that efficient use of energy is vital for nations that wish to catch the next wave of innovation.



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References

 

88. These recommendations are a summary from Alan Pears, Ch 2 of submission to Federal Government’s 2030 sustainable cities enquiry on behalf of the Planning Institute of Australia. (Back)

89. DRE (Department of Resources and Energy) (1987) Energy Demand and Supply Australia 1960–61 to 1984–85, DRE, Bureau of Resource Economics, AGPS, Canberra. (Back)

90. DEFRA (2003) UK Emissions Trading Scheme off to Flying Start, Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, News Release 168/03 12 May, Nobel House, London. (Back)

91. Allen Consulting (2003) Sustainable Energy Jobs Report: A Report for the Sustainable Energy Development Authority, The Allen Consulting Group, Sydney. (Back)

92. Watt, M. and Outhred, H. (1999) Electricity Industry Sustainability: Policy Options, Australian Centre for Renewable Energy. (Back)

93. Pears, A. and Greene, D. (2003) Policy Options for Energy Efficiency in Australia, The Australian CRC for Renewable Energy (ACRE), January. (Back)

94. Vine, E., Hamrin, J., Eyre, N., Crossley, D., Maloney, M. and Watt, G. (2003) ‘Public Policy Analysis of Energy Efficiency and Load Management in Changing Electricity Businesses’, Energy Policy, vol 31, pp405–30. (Back)